Category: Education and Workforce

  • NCSL: Workforce Pell Is Coming. Are State Legislatures Ready?

    The Workforce Pell Grant launches July 1, 2026, giving states a formal role in federal student aid for the first time. States will identify and approve eligible short-term training programs (8-14 weeks, 150-599 clock hours) based on federal criteria: programs must prepare students for high-skill, high-wage, or in-demand jobs, confer stackable credentials toward degrees, and meet 70% completion rates, 70% job placement rates within 180 days, and an earnings value threshold where median graduate earnings above 150% of poverty exceed tuition costs three years post-completion. Governors and state workforce boards will review programs, and states may need to define terms like “in-demand” and “high-wage” while building data systems to track non-credit credential outcomes.

    The timeline is tight—final federal regulations won’t arrive until spring 2026, leaving states just months to submit approved program lists before the academic year begins. State legislatures should consider strengthening data infrastructure to connect postsecondary and workforce systems, aligning state definitions of eligibility terms with forthcoming federal rules, and examining how Workforce Pell interacts with existing state training programs. Students apply via FAFSA, with awards prorated by program length and counting against the 12-semester lifetime Pell cap. Programs that fail performance benchmarks lose funding until they demonstrate improvement and gain state reapproval.

    Read the full article here.

  • States Take Center Stage: Economic Development Under the One Big Beautiful Act

    Congress enacted the One Big Beautiful Act (OBBA) in July 2025 with clear implications for how states drive growth, competitiveness, and return on public investment. The law amends education and tax policy, but its effects extend well beyond those domains. OBBA tightens the connection between federal resources and state-defined economic outcomes. It places states at the center of validating demand, measuring results, and coordinating systems that shape regional growth.

    At its core, the Act reflects a shift in federal expectations. Federal benefits for credentials and training increasingly depend on earnings, employment, and demonstrated market relevance. For state economic development leaders, this creates an opening to rethink how workforce systems, higher education institutions, and federal place-based tools support broader state growth strategies.

    For states, the most consequential change is the elevation of the state’s role in directing investments in talent pipelines. The new Workforce Pell framework allows federal aid to support short-term, industry-driven training when states certify that the training program  meets labor market demand and deliver earnings above what typical workers with the previous level of education make in that state and thus justifying the investment.. Economic development executives now have a stronger basis to engage governors and state workforce boards, which hold decisive authority over which credentials align with the state’s economic priorities.

    This structure reinforces demand-driven talent development. It encourages tighter alignment among employers, training providers, workforce agencies, and economic development organizations. It also increases the strategic value of state labor market information and longitudinal earnings data. Regions that already integrate these functions gain an advantage. Fragmented systems face growing exposure.

    The Act also reshapes higher education’s role in state economies. OBBA imposes stronger performance expectations across both short-term credentials and degree programs. Programs that consistently produce low earnings outcomes face new disclosure requirements and the risk of losing eligibility. At the same time, new limits on graduate and parent borrowing and the elimination of Grad PLUS are likely to affect enrollment patterns and institutional finance models across state higher education systems.

    For states, these changes matter not only as education policy but also as economic strategy. Institutions will face pressure to reassess their program mix, pricing, and alignment with industry demand. States that treat higher education as a coordinated economic asset, rather than a stand-alone sector, will be better positioned to manage these shifts.

    On the place-based side, the Act raises expectations for existing investment tools without expanding them. Qualified Opportunity Zones remain in place, but outcome requirements increase. Federal oversight now places greater emphasis on whether Zones generate jobs, support business formation, and improve economic conditions in designated communities. Investment volume alone is no longer sufficient.

    This matters for state economic development agencies because in many areas, Opportunity Zones can influence where private capital flows. The new reporting framework increases scrutiny of designation decisions and long-term results. States must now demonstrate that Zones advance broader development objectives rather than operate as passive tax preferences.

    Taken together, these provisions send a clear federal signal. Talent development and place-based investment are being treated as interdependent components of economic development. Both are expected to deliver measurable economic returns. Both rely on state leadership to define priorities and validate outcomes. And both reward regions that align people, institutions, capital, and data around shared growth goals.

    For state economic development executives, the Act brings both opportunity and responsibility. It expands state influence over key levers of growth while raising expectations for performance. States that coordinate workforce, higher education, and investment strategies stand to capture greater value from federal policy. States that cannot demonstrate results face increasing risk as federal support becomes more conditional.

    The One Big Beautiful Act reforms education finance and federal tax incentives. More importantly, it signals that federal economic development policy will increasingly run through the states, with accountability as the price of authority.

  • Workforce Pell and Noncredit Training Helps Build the State Talent Pool

    Implications for States

    Overview

    The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 codified a major proposed change in how the federal government[BI1]  supports workforce training. For the first time, Congress expanded Pell Grant eligibility to include funding for short-term, career-focused programs designed to meet immediate industry needs. Beginning in July 2026, Pell Grants can support programs as short as eight weeks or 150 clock hours, far shorter than the traditional academic programs Pell has historically funded. This shift creates a new federal financing tool for rapid workforce development. Certain noncredit occupational programs may now qualify for Pell support if they align with state-certified labor market demand and meet new federal requirements for completion, job placement, and earnings outcomes (Brown, 2025; U.S. Department of Education [ED], 2025a).

    Supporting (or complementing) short-term and noncredit occupational education combined with state-funded business training grants and incumbent worker upskilling incentives can lead to significant economic returns. States will want to reconsider how to use Workforce Pell (as a new funding mechanism) to support certain industry-driven training programs to emphasize programs with short-term impacts to ensure Federal and state investments complement one another.

    What Workforce Pell Changes in the Talent Finance System

    Under the Workforce Pell rules developed through the Accountability in Higher Education and Demand-driven Workforce Pell (AHEAD) Committee process, governors or their designees decide which training programs are eligible for Pell support. To qualify, programs must prepare people for jobs that states have identified as in demand, high skill, or well paying. States are required to document how they define these jobs, how employers help validate demand, and how programs are reviewed at least every two years in coordination with broader workforce planning efforts (Brown, 2025; ED, 2025b).

    Eligible programs must meet three core requirements:

    • Completion and placement: At least 70 percent of participants must complete the program within 150 percent of the expected timeframe, and at least 70 percent must be employed in the second quarter after leaving the program.
    • Job alignment: Beginning in the 2028–2029 academic year, participants’ jobs must align with the occupation the program is designed to prepare them for, or with a comparable in-demand occupation.
    • Earnings-based cost limit: Program tuition and fees may not exceed the program’s “value-added earnings,” defined as median earnings three years after completion, adjusted for regional cost differences and reduced by 150 percent of the federal poverty guideline. (ED, 2025a).

    These requirements move short-term training decisively toward an outcomes-based funding model and raise the bar for programs historically financed through state grants, employer contracts, or student out-of-pocket payments. It also puts much more pressure on education and training providers to develop the data infrastructure to monitor worker/learner outcomes directly tied to the skill training offered.

    What the Evidence Says About Returns to Short-Term and Noncredit Training

    The evidence follows the design logic of Workforce Pell. Essentially, not all short-term training produces equivalent economic returns and that program selectivity matters. Increased earnings tend to be greater in fields with strong labor demand and wage progression while they are lower in fields that favor short, low-return offerings even when those offerings are responsive to employer needs.

    For instance, recent research by Bahr and Columbus (2025) provides one of the most rigorous large-scale analyses of labor market returns to community college noncredit occupational education. Using longitudinal administrative data from Texas, the authors find that participation in noncredit occupational training is associated with statistically significant earnings gains of approximately $2,000 per year within two years of completion, representing about a 3.8 percent increase over pre-training earnings.

    However, returns vary substantially by field, training type, and duration. Programs in transportation, engineering technologies, mechanics, and welding show returns two to four times larger than average, while some business, marketing, and information-related fields show returns that are statistically indistinguishable from zero. Returns are stronger for longer training durations and for employer-contracted training than for open-enrollment offerings, and they diminish sharply for repeat training spells (Bahr & Columbus, 2025).

    Implications for State-Funded Business Training Grants

    Workforce Pell will not eliminate the need for state-funded business training grants, but it will change how states should use them. First, for many entry-level, widely recognized credentials, Pell Grants can now cover training costs that states have traditionally paid for through their incentive programs. When short-term programs show strong earnings outcomes and meet federal requirements, Pell can finance tuition and fees directly. This creates a strong incentive for states to avoid paying twice for the same training. The effect will be most noticeable in high-demand programs such as commercial driver’s licenses, welding, nursing assistant, and child care credentials, where state and federal funding have often overlapped (ED, 2025a; Bahr & Columbus, 2025).

    Second, state training incentives are also likely to shift toward employer-specific and incumbent worker upskilling. Research shows that training designed and delivered in partnership with employers often produces stronger earnings gains than open-enrollment programs (Bahr & Columbus, 2025). These employer-driven programs typically focus on company-specific skills, new equipment, or process improvements that are critical for productivity but are not easily packaged as portable credentials. As a result, a clearer division of roles is emerging. Federal Pell dollars are better suited to support standardized, widely recognized credentials that feed broad talent pipelines, while state business training grants are best used to help employers upskill their existing workforce and adopt new technologies.

    Third, Workforce Pell also raises the bar for accountability across state training programs. Because federal funding now depends on clear evidence of program completion, job placement, and earnings outcomes, similar expectations are likely to extend to state-funded incentives. Legislators and oversight bodies may increasingly question why state dollars support training programs that cannot demonstrate results comparable to those required for federal assistance.

    Risks and Tensions for State Talent Systems

    Several policy risks arise where Workforce Pell intersects with state training incentives. One risk is the crowding out of flexible training. If states assume Pell will cover most short-term workforce needs and scale back incumbent worker programs, they may underinvest in the firm-specific training that supports productivity gains and technology adoption. Evidence shows that returns to training vary widely by field and design, and that some high-value, employer-driven programs may not qualify for Pell support even when demand is strong (Bahr & Columbus, 2025).

    A second risk involves misalignment around career pathways. While federal rules require Workforce Pell programs to be stackable over time, students who move directly into further education are counted as not employed for job placement purposes. This creates a disincentive for institutions to encourage advancement, which may conflict with state objectives to build a skilled workforce over the long term (Brown, 2025). In certain industries and occupations, longer-term education is valuable but benefits may not be seen within the three-year measurement period.

    A third risk relates to interactions with state aid. New restrictions limit Pell eligibility when non-federal grants or scholarships equal or exceed a student’s cost of attendance. As a result, states may need to revisit last-dollar aid programs and employer-paid training models to avoid unintentionally displacing federal funds or adding administrative complexity (U.S. Department of Education [ED], 2025b).

    Strategic design choices for states
    States can modernize business training grants and incentives to complement Workforce Pell rather than compete with it.

    1. Reframe business training grants as “Pell-complement” funding
      Use state dollars for what Pell does not do well: onboarding supports, transportation, childcare, tools, testing fees, paid release time, wage offsets, and employer coordination costs. This preserves a strong role for state incentives while letting Pell cover eligible tuition and fees where appropriate.
    2. Create a two-lane talent finance model
      Lane A: Pell-aligned portable credential pipelines in which the state role centers on rapid certification of in-demand occupations, employer validation, and helping institutions meet performance guardrails (Brown, 2025).
      Lane B: Customized incumbent worker upskilling and productivity training in which state incentives focus on technology adoption, process improvement, and firm-specific training that increases competitiveness but may not fit Workforce Pell eligibility.
    3. Add performance features to state incentives[BI2]  without copying federal rules
      Workforce Pell requires completion, placement, and earnings-related guardrails (Brown, 2025; U.S. Department of Education, 2025a). State grants can adopt lighter-weight performance signals, such as wage progression, retention, credential attainment, or productivity proxies, while maintaining flexibility for employers.
    4. Use the governor certification role to integrate economic development priorities
      Because governors or designees certify eligible programs and must review in-demand lists regularly (Brown, 2025), states can formalize a process that directly incorporates business attraction targets, cluster strategies, and major project pipelines into the “in-demand” determinations. This approach is one of the cleanest ways to align federal training subsidy with state growth strategy.
    5. Prepare for data and verification capacity needs
      In its analysis, the National College Attainment Network flags that governors will be responsible for verifying job placement and that occupational matching is hard with typical administrative data (Brown, 2025). If states build stronger wage record matching, credential registries, and employer reporting channels, they make compliance easier while also strengthening the case for complementary state training incentives.

    Bottom line for state economic development executives
    Workforce Pell should not replace state business training grants. However, it should encourage state to change what those grants support and how states justify their value. The most effective posture is “federal dollars for portable, demand-certified pipelines” and “state dollars for speed, customization, wraparound supports, and productivity-focused upskilling.” That combination minimizes duplication, protects flexibility for employers, and strengthens statewide talent competitiveness under the new federal rules (Brown, 2025).


    References

    Bahr, P. R., & Columbus, R. (2025). Labor market returns to community college noncredit occupational education. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis. https://doi.org/10.3102/01623737251360029

    Brown, C. (2025, December 22). Highlights from the AHEAD Committee: Workforce Pell consensus reached. National College Attainment Network. https://www.ncan.org/news/717100/Highlights-from-the-AHEAD-Committee-Workforce-Pell-Consensus-Reached.htm

    U.S. Department of Education. (2025a). Workforce Pell: Value-added earnings test. https://www.ed.gov/media/document/2025-ahead-workforce-pell-value-added-earnings-test-112702.pdf

    U.S. Department of Education. (2025b). AHEAD negotiated rulemaking: Eligible workforce programs and grant aid from non-federal sources. https://www.ed.gov

     

  • The Impact of the Childcare Challenge on Regional Economic Competitiveness

    Economic development succeeds when regions align talent, infrastructure, and employer demand. Access to quality, affordable childcare is a form of economic infrastructure that directly shapes labor force participation, business productivity, and regional competitiveness.

    National research consistently shows that inadequate access to childcare suppresses workforce participation and slows economic growth. Estimates place the annual cost to the U.S. economy at more than $120 billion in lost earnings, productivity, and tax revenue (First Five Years Fund, 2025). State-level analyses from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation show that childcare disruptions cost states an average of roughly 0.4 percent of GDP each year (U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2024).

    Employer experience reinforces this national picture. A December 2025 statewide survey of hundreds of employers in Virginia found that childcare challenges are directly affecting hiring, retention, and productivity across the Commonwealth (Virginia Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2025). Not only is childcare a family issue, but it is also a business constraint with measurable economic consequences.

    At the same time, policy research underscores that these impacts reflect deeper structural failures in the childcare market where prices remain unaffordable for families but still insufficient to sustain providers or pay early educators a livable wage (The Century Foundation, 2025). The result is chronic supply shortages and workforce instability that undermine regional labor markets.

    Why Workforce Participation Is the Economic Issue

    Labor shortages remain a defining challenge for state and regional economies. Childcare plays a large role in those shortages. Nationally, more than one-quarter of households report experiencing a job change due to childcare challenges, and a growing share of parents expect to leave the workforce entirely if conditions do not improve (U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2024).

    In a December 2025 survey, Virginia employers report similar and often more severe impacts. About 88 percent of employers report that employees are late or miss work due to childcare issues, 65 percent report workers reducing hours, 41 percent report declined job offers or promotions, and 34 percent report workers leaving jobs altogether (Virginia Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2025). Employers with nontraditional or unpredictable schedules report even greater disruption.

    These outcomes translate directly into reduced labor force participation and weaker execution of workforce strategies. Based on relevant academic studies and employer survey evidence, inadequate access to affordable childcare may reduce overall labor force participation by approximately 0.5 to 1.0 percentage points. Participation among parents of young children may be 7 to 10 percentage points lower than it would be under universally affordable and accessible childcare (Baker, Gruber, & Milligan; U.S. Department of the Treasury, 2021; Virginia Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2025).

    For regions pursuing growth in sectors with a high share of women in their workforce (e.g., health care, hospitality, logistics, retail, and other labor-intensive industries), childcare access increasingly determines whether economic strategies succeed or stall.

    The Business Cost of Inaction

    For employers, childcare instability drives absenteeism, turnover, and replacement costs. These costs are rising faster than the cost of providing childcare as a retention and workforce stabilization tool. A comprehensive review of the economic literature finds that the average cost of employee turnover is approximately 40 percent of a worker’s annual salary, with a median closer to 24 percent and wide variation by occupation and industry (Bahn & Sanchez Cumming, 2020). In lower-wage and service-sector roles, replacement costs commonly range from 15 to 30 percent of annual wages. For specialized or managerial roles, costs often exceed annual pay.

    This research draws on 31 case studies across industries including health care, hospitality, retail, transportation, education, manufacturing, and finance. It captures both direct costs, such as recruiting and training, and indirect costs, such as lost productivity, service disruptions, and customer loss. These indirect costs are frequently underestimated but materially affect firm performance.

    Virginia employers link many of these pressures directly to childcare instability. In the December 2025 survey, 81 percent of employers reported that childcare challenges affect hiring and retention, and 85 percent reported impacts on business productivity (Virginia Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2025). Together, the research and employer evidence show that childcare breakdowns create recurring business costs rather than isolated workforce disruptions.

    Household Affordability Shapes Regional Talent Supply

    Childcare affordability directly affects the depth and stability of the labor pool. Average annual childcare costs exceed $12,000 and consume more than 13 percent of household income in many states, far above the commonly cited affordability benchmark of 7 percent (Bipartisan Policy Center, 2020; Economic Policy Institute, 2025).

    In Virginia, affordability and access challenges are tightly linked. Eighty-six percent of employers report that their employees struggle with childcare expenses, and 65 percent report employees cannot find programs with open seats (Virginia Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2025). When families cannot afford or access care, workers reduce hours, decline advancement opportunities, or exit the workforce.

    The Century Foundation emphasizes that affordability challenges cannot be separated from supply constraints. Public subsidies reach only a fraction of eligible families, while providers face rising overhead costs and persistently low wages that drive educator turnover and limit capacity expansion.

    Long-term impacts compound. Workers who leave the labor force for several years due to childcare constraints can lose hundreds of thousands of dollars in lifetime earnings, weakening household stability and shrinking the regional talent pool (Center for American Progress, 2016). Skills erosion during time out of the workforce raises reentry costs for both workers and public workforce systems.

    What Research Says

    There is broad agreement across federal agencies, business organizations, and labor economists on the core diagnosis. Childcare constraints caused by underinvestment and inadequate supply are market failures that limit productive capacity (U.S. Department of the Treasury, 2021). Employer survey evidence from Virginia strengthens this conclusion and shows that businesses are ready to engage.

    Evaluations of cost-sharing models, such as Tri-Share, suggest that these approaches can improve affordability and workforce attachment for participating families. Employers report improved retention and recruitment, and parents report a higher likelihood of remaining in the workforce (Public Sector Consultants, 2024). However, Tri-Share alone is not sufficient. The Century Foundation finds that scalable solutions also require expanded childcare supply, reductions in childcare deserts, and substantially improved wages for early educators.

    Limits and Design Choices Matter

    In short, affordability alone does not guarantee access. In regions with limited provider capacity, families may qualify for assistance but still struggle to find care. Cost-sharing works best when paired with strategies that stabilize provider finances and expand the early educator workforce.

    Scale matters. Pilot programs demonstrate proof of concept, but system-level labor force impacts require broader adoption and sustained funding.

    Employer participation hinges on cost and simplicity. The Virginia survey shows that cost is the biggest barrier preventing employers from offering childcare benefits. Employers call for increased state funding and incentives to crowd in business, private, and local investment (Virginia Chamber of Commerce Foundation, 2025).

    Administration matters. Programs that reduce complexity, pool public and private funding, and avoid tying benefits to a single employer offer more durable paths to affordability, supply expansion, and workforce stabilization.

    Implications for Regional Economic Development

    Childcare now sits squarely within economic development strategy because it is a critical talent pipeline constraint and disruptor for a stable labor pool. Regions that depend on a reliable workforce must address barriers to work. Evidence from national research, employer surveys, and policy analysis points in the same direction. Childcare constraints limit growth, and shared-responsibility models can help when embedded in a broader strategy.

    Public-private cost-sharing models can play a role when paired with investments that expand supply and address the true cost of quality care. Well-designed approaches crowd in employer investment, stretch public dollars, and address workforce barriers identified directly by businesses.

    To ignore childcare constraints is to accept avoidable limits on labor force participation and productivity. Integrating childcare into workforce and economic development strategy strengthens regions, supports employers, and expands opportunity.


    References

    Bahn, K., & Sanchez Cumming, C. (2020). Improving U.S. labor standards and the quality of jobs to reduce the costs of employee turnover to U.S. companies. Washington Center for Equitable Growth.

    Bipartisan Policy Center. (2020). Demystifying childcare affordability.

    Center for American Progress. (2016). The hidden cost of a failing childcare system.

    Century Foundation, The. (2025). The Tri-Share model is not a solution to the childcare crisis.

    Economic Policy Institute. (2025). Family budget calculator.

    First Five Years Fund. (2025). How a lack of affordable childcare impacts the economy.

    Public Sector Consultants. (2024). Michigan Tri-Share 2024 evaluation report.

    U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation. (2024). Untapped potential: How childcare impacts state economies.

    U.S. Department of the Treasury. (2021). The economics of childcare supply in the United States.

    Virginia Chamber of Commerce Foundation. (2025). Childcare is the foundation of Virginia’s economy: Employer survey summary (December 2025).

  • German Study Tour

    From October 15-21, 2023, nine representatives of the State Economic Development Executive (SEDE) network visited Bonn, Cologne, and Stuttgart to learn more about the strengths and shortcomings of Germany’s dual education system and to identify positive elements and potential applications to expanding apprenticeship in the US. The delegation included state workforce and training executives, representing Arizona, Arkansas, Kansas, Louisiana, Virginia, and West Virginia.

  • New Findings on Remote Worker Attraction Programs

    Remote worker attraction programs represent an exciting innovation for state and local economic development. Recent studies examined two of the longest-standing remote worker attraction programs: the Vermont New Remote Workers Grant Program and Tulsa Remote. Panelists at a recent roundtable shared their findings on the effectiveness of worker attraction incentives.

    Read full Roundtable findings here.

  • New Findings on Remote Worker Attraction Programs & Lessons for Communities Striving to Attract Remote Workers

    | SEDE Network Incentives Roundtable | April 5, 2022 |

    Remote worker attraction programs represent an exciting innovation for state and local economic development. Recent studies examined two of the longest-standing remote worker attraction programs: the Vermont New Remote Workers Grant Program and Tulsa Remote. Panelists at a recent roundtable shared their findings on the effectiveness of worker attraction incentives.

    • Evaluations of remote worker incentive programs in Vermont and Tulsa found that they have been effective in attracting new people and are generating net economic gains at relatively low costs
    • While they differed in style and approach, both studies concluded that remote worker incentives have provided a positive return on investment.
    • The evaluations also identified other benefits not captured in the impact models, such as attracting above-average income earners and individuals with age, experience, and education profiles that bolster the workforce.
    • The long-term effects are still to be determined, but early signs are promising in both places based on retention and home ownership rates.
    • Communities considering remote worker programs should know:
    • Incentives are unlikely to be the only reason for an individual’s relocation decision, but they can be an important factor for many and provide an “extra push” to encourage individuals to make the move.
    • Incentives are most effective when they are part of holistic economic development strategies. Places that are considering these incentives should embrace what makes their community great – but also understand/address the factors that may make relocation difficult.
    • Incentives tend to resonate with people who have some connection to or experience in your community already.
    • Relocating remote workers are seeking to make meaningful connections within their new communities. Building community connections is important to helping remote workers put down roots and creating places where people want to be.

    Introduction

    Economic development leaders and evaluators considered how effective state and local incentives can be in bringing new remote workers to communities during the recent SEDE Network roundtable program, New Findings on Remote Worker Attraction Programs.

    The roundtable presented findings from recent evaluations of two of the longest-standing remote worker attraction programs: the Vermont New Remote Workers Grant Program and Tulsa Remote, both launched in 2018. Joan Goldstein, Commissioner for the Vermont Agency of Commerce and Community Development, provided a leadership perspective on the economic development benefits of Vermont’s remote worker attraction programs. Deanna Kimball from PFM Group Consulting then discussed findings on a series of questions the Vermont legislature posed regarding the effectiveness of Vermont’s programs. Kenan Fikri with the Economic Innovation Group reported on takeaways from their study of Tulsa Remote.

    This white paper summarizes the major themes from the roundtable presentations. To dive deeper, please see the full slide deck from the roundtable or watch the roundtable video to hear directly from the panelists.

    Remote Worker Incentives in Vermont and Tulsa

    Vermont’s New Remote Worker Grant Program was created by the state legislature in 2018. The $500,000 allocated for the original program was exhausted in 2020. The program was reconstituted under the 2021 New Relocating Employee Incentives Program, and $130,000 was made available for remote workers becoming full-time residents on or after February 1, 2022.

    The current program provides grants up to $7,500 to remote workers who relocate to Vermont. Grants are structured as reimbursements for eligible relocation expenses. The program is administered by the Vermont Agency of Commerce and Community Development (ACCD). Individuals must complete a grant application and survey. Grants are then awarded on a first-come, first-served basis, and funds are disbursed in accordance with a grant agreement. In its first iteration, the program provided grants to 140 qualified recipients, with actual grant amounts ranging from $401-$5,0000 and an average of $3,571.

    Tulsa Remote was created, funded and administered by the George Kaiser Family Foundation starting in 2018. The program targets people who work from home and incentivizes them to relocate to Tulsa for at least one year. Tulsa Remote offers a $10,000 grant along with resettlement assistance, co-working space membership, and social activities and networking events. Individuals submit an application and are selected by the Tulsa Remote team based on their willingness to relocate within Tulsa city limits and contribute to the community and economy, plus considerations of their potential economic impact, degree of community engagement, and likelihood to stay. Funds are disbursed in phases for relocation expenses, a monthly stipend, and at the end of the first year. Approximately 1,200 remote workers had moved to Tulsa by the end of 2021, though not all stayed beyond their commitment. Kenan Fikri explained that the state of Oklahoma is now starting to reimburse a large part of the incentive.

    Both programs received substantial media attention as early examples of remote worker attraction incentives. Joan Goldstein noted that Vermont found the incentive to be “an unbelievable marketing tool– a way to put Vermont on the map nationally and internationally” for economic development in an unprecedented way.

    Study Findings: Are They Effective?

    While they differ in style and approach to determining effectiveness, both studies chose to use individual or household income (rather than the number of new jobs) to estimate economic impact. Both concluded that remote worker incentives have provided a positive return on investment.

    The Vermont Remote Worker program yielded positive employment, output, and fiscal benefits under a primary scenario and several alternatives that were modeled based on estimates of household income associated with the new remote workers gleaned from surveys of grant recipients. The evaluation estimated the 140 remote workers had aggregate household income of $16.5 million, indicating incomes that exceed the state average. The primary scenario then adjusted the total economic and fiscal impact to reflect the percentage of survey respondents who said the grant was important or very important to their decision (52%). This adjustment, which essentially discounted the maximum potential impact, yielded a total employment impact of 65 jobs (not counting the remote workers themselves) from household spending and annual economic output of $9.5 million. The PFM team found that, “in the aggregate, these are significantly positive programs with substantial return per tax dollar spent,” further noting that “economic and fiscal impacts are ongoing.”

    The Tulsa Remote impact analysis also found positive employment and income effects, drawing on data from a survey of grant recipients. The analysis is based on the 394 remote workers present for the whole year in 2021. These workers directly accounted for $51.3 million in income in 2021, with a total impact of 592 full-time equivalent jobs and $62 million in new local earnings. This means that every dollar spent on the incentive produced $13.77 in new labor income in the county. Estimated impacts were not adjusted to reflect the importance of the incentive to relocation decisions. As in Vermont, remote worker incomes exceeded the local average. The median income of the remote workers was $85,000 in 2021, while Tulsa’s median income is approximately $58,000. EIG also concluded that Tulsa would see additional impacts from the remote workers in the years ahead.

    The evaluations also identified other economic development benefits not captured in the impact models. In addition to the above-average income findings in both places, Vermont learned that the remote workers were younger than many of the state’s in-migrants, a positive workforce indicator. Tulsa reported that 31% of remote workers are employed in professional services and 14% in the information sector, compared to 17% and 2% locally, and nearly 90% of incentivized remote workers hold a bachelor’s degree, supporting the goals to attract and retain highly educated workers in high-wage fields.

    The long-term effects are still to be determined, but early signs are promising in both places.

    • In Tulsa 4 in 10 are homeowners, and of those who are not, another 4 in 10 are at least slightly likely to purchase a home w/in a year
    • 74% of Vermont remote worker grant survey respondents own their residence
    • Tulsa has seen an 87.5% retention rate to date, while 97% of Vermont remote worker grant survey respondents still live in the state

    Topics for Communities Considering Remote Worker Programs

    1. Communities should acknowledge that incentives are unlikely to be the only reason for an individual’s relocation decision, but they can be an important factor for many.
    • 52% of survey respondents in Vermont said the grant was important or very important to their decision.
    • Joan Goldstein pointed out that in today’s workers’ market, places are competing on amenities – not just tax breaks or incentives. In Vermont, access to outdoor recreation and nature, the perception of Vermont as a safe place to live and raise a family, and access to community/cultural amenities were the top factors influencing the decision to move to Vermont.
    • Across the country, individuals who are relocating (not just relocating remote workers) also say being closer to family and friends and more affordable living are their top reasons for making a move.
    1. Incentives are most effective when they are part of holistic economic development strategies. As Deanna Kimball explained, places that are considering these incentives should embrace what makes their community great – but also understand/address the factors that may make relocation difficult.
    • Strategies need to address the factors that might impede relocation decisions. Depending on the community, these might include available and affordable housing options, access to quality childcare at a reasonable cost, and high-quality and reliable broadband.
    • Outreach and promotion for remote worker incentives should complement tourism and other community marketing efforts.
    • Incentives should be approached as a collaborative effort with economic development partners to maintain buy-in and make sure interested neighborhoods and communities are “relocation ready” and in a position to benefit.
    1. The incentives tend to resonate with people who have some connection to or experience in your community already. Kenan Fikri noted that going forward differentiation and careful targeting (to your local diaspora, for example) may become the key to success as remote worker incentives become more common.
    • In Tulsa, 39% reported having a family connection to the area before moving. 21% are “boomerangs” who previously lived in Tulsa
    • In Vermont, 50% of remote worker recipient survey respondents have family in Vermont, and 24% had been a resident previously
    • Panelists noted that the incentive can provide that “extra push” to encourage individuals to make the move back.
    1. Relocating remote workers are seeking to make meaningful connections within their new communities.
    • Tulsa offers programming to remote workers directed at community building that includes networking events and social activities as well as a website for sharing experiences.
    • Memberships to local cultural organizations, business and community networking opportunities, and free access to co-working spaces are common approaches to building connections.
    • Community connections are important to helping remote workers put down roots and “make the places sticky” so people want to be there.

    Conclusion

    Remote worker incentive programs represent an exciting innovation for state and local economic development. The remote worker attraction programs considered here have been small but impactful, creating a new set of economic development opportunities for both Vermont and Tulsa. They have been effective in bringing people to new locations and are generating net economic gains. The long-term benefits are yet to be determined, but early indicators around home ownership and retention rates are positive. Remote worker incentives that are integrated with other economic development and marketing strategies, engage partners and stakeholders, and that help remote workers build connections with their new communities are most likely to be successful.


    by  | Apr 24, 2022

    Remote worker attraction programs represent an exciting innovation for state and local economic development. Recent evaluations of remote worker incentive programs in Vermont and Tulsa found that they have been effective in attracting new people and are generating net economic gains. Panelists at a recent roundtable shared these perspectives on what makes worker attraction incentives effective.

    Communities should acknowledge that incentives are unlikely to be the only reason for an individual’s relocation decision, but they can be an important factor for many and provide an “extra push” to encourage individuals to make the move.

    Incentives are most effective when they are part of holistic economic development strategies.  Places that are considering these incentives should embrace what makes their community great – but also understand/address the factors that may make relocation difficult. Strategies should address the factors that might impede relocation decisions.

    Incentives tend to resonate with people who have some connection to or experience in your community already. In Tulsa, 39% reported having a family connection to the area before moving.  21% are “boomerangs” who previously lived in Tulsa. In Vermont, 50% of remote worker recipient survey respondents have family in Vermont, and 24% had been a resident previously.

    Relocating remote workers are seeking to make meaningful connections within their new communities. Memberships to local cultural organizations, business and community networking opportunities, and free access to co-working spaces are common approaches to building connections. Building community connections is important to helping remote workers put down roots and creating places where people want to be.

    This article is drawn from New Findings on Remote Worker Attraction Programs. This white paper summarizes the major themes from the April 5, 2022, roundtable of the same name, sponsored by the State Economic Development Executives network and hosted by the Center for Regional Economic Competitiveness. The roundtable panel discussed findings from recent evaluations of two of the longest-standing remote worker attraction programs: the Vermont New Remote Workers Grant Program and Tulsa Remote.

  • Brookings Mobility Pathways Tool

    The Mobility Pathways tool helps workers, businesses, and policymakers identify career transition opportunities by showing common job movements, wage changes, demand levels, and mobility prospects. Workers can use it to find realistic pathways to better-paying jobs by examining transitions from their current occupation, with features showing which moves offer wage increases and higher long-term mobility potential based on historical patterns. Businesses can leverage the “transitions into” function to identify promising talent pools for recruitment and upskilling, discovering workers from unexpected occupations or lower-paying sectors who have successfully made similar transitions. Policymakers can use the tool to design workforce development programs by identifying which occupations could serve as talent pipelines for growing fields, examining local labor supply through employment share data, and targeting reskilling efforts for workers in declining industries toward emerging opportunities that offer upward mobility.

    Check out the tool here.

  • Brookings Workforce of the Future Initiative

    A variety of economic forces—most prominently, globalization and automation—have reduced the availability of middle-class jobs. This has contributed to a stagnation in real wages and a decline in upward mobility for millions of workers, particularly those without a college degree. Led by Brookings Senior Fellow Marcela Escobari, the Workforce of the Future initiative produces research and online tools to diagnose and counter these trends.

    Check out the research here.

  • Beyond Training: How State Economic Development Agencies Are Helping Companies Develop Talent

    State economic development efforts have focused on developing the state’s competitive strengths and leveling the playing field to attract or retain business investments. States have used a variety of strategies, including streamlining the tax and regulatory environment, supporting incentives targeted to specific high impact economic opportunities, developing emerging industries, investing in new technologies, supporting strategically important infrastructure investments, providing critically important amenities that help attract private investment, and training workers to help companies increase their productivity. In general, these strategies have focused on reducing business costs and maximizing the benefits of operating a firm in the state.

    Read Full Report here.